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The escalation of the India Pakistan conflict: behind Trump’s “mediation” lies the arms business, and the gold market is experiencing a roller coaster ride
- May 9, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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On the early morning of May 7th Beijing time, India launched cross-border air strikes against Pakistan, claiming retaliation for the Kashmir terrorist attack. Pakistan immediately shot down 5 Indian military aircraft (including 3 Rafale), resulting in the death of 26 civilians. The most intense military confrontation since 1971 has caused a global capital market shock: spot gold once fell below $3400 per ounce, but due to the United Nations warning that “the world cannot afford the Indo Pakistani war”, the rebound in safe haven sentiment pushed gold prices to around $3380. Even more dramatically, on the 8th, Trump suddenly declared his willingness to be a mediator, but was accused of using mediation to promote arms sales and sow discord between China and Pakistan.
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US military reaches ceasefire agreement with Houthis, Trump predicts’ epic news’ to disrupt gold market
- May 8, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On May 6th local time, US President Trump announced that the United States had reached a ceasefire agreement with the Houthi militants in Yemen and would cease airstrikes on them from that day on. This decision stems from the Houthis’ promise to stop attacking American ships in the Red Sea and the Strait of Mandeb in exchange for the end of a seven week, over $1 billion bombing campaign by the US military. However, the Houthis have made it clear that they will continue military operations against Israel until the blockade of the Gaza Strip is lifted.
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Gold bull market continues to be strong: Gold and silver diverge under the prospect of a weaker dollar and a trade agreement
- May 7, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On Tuesday, the gold market continued to rise, with spot gold breaking through $3,385/ounce, up 1.5% on the day; spot silver also touched $33/ounce, up 1.66% on the day. Against the backdrop of a weakening dollar and heightened trade policy uncertainty, gold’s status as a safe-haven asset has been further strengthened.
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Israel’s’ Gaza Total Control Plan ‘Suddenly Emerges! Gold prices soar, geopolitical risk premium continues to expand
- May 7, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On May 5th local time, the Israeli Security Cabinet officially approved the “Gideon Tank” military plan, announcing the comprehensive occupation of the Gaza Strip and the forced relocation of 2.3 million civilians to the southern region. This strategic shift marks Israel’s shift from “short-term raids” to “long-term military presence”. The Israeli military has mobilized tens of thousands of reserve soldiers and plans to launch an operation immediately after US President Trump’s visit to the Middle East. According to the plan, the Gaza Strip will be divided into 6-10 “safe zones” controlled by US private security companies, with the distribution of aid completely taken over by the Israeli military and international organizations such as the United Nations excluded.
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The “Golden Moment” of Financial Markets: A Symphony of Trade Policy, Economic Data and Gold Prices
- May 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Recently, the gold market has presented a complex pattern under the interweaving of multiple factors such as policies and economic data. On the one hand, the gold price has remained stable to a certain extent; on the other hand, the market is full of cautious optimism and potential uncertainty about the future trend of gold.
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Europe and Ukraine’s concerns come true: Trump may give up mediating Russia Ukraine peace talks, gold market welcomes geopolitical storm again
- May 6, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On April 30th local time, the Trump administration’s attitude towards the Russia Ukraine peace talks took a sharp turn for the worse. White House envoy Kellogg bluntly stated in an interview that Russia’s proposal for a “three-day ceasefire” is “extremely absurd” and that the United States is seeking a “comprehensive and permanent ceasefire”. This statement echoes Trump’s previous tough stance – on April 23, he publicly criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky for “obstructing the peace process” and threatened that “if negotiations fail, the United States will completely withdraw”.
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Zelensky Slams Putin’s Ceasefire Proposal: Russia-Ukraine conflict Still Sticks
- April 30, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Recently, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has heated up again and become the focus of global attention. After Putin proposed a 72 hour ceasefire, Zelensky angrily rebuked it, calling it Russia’s “attempt to manipulate the situation again” and further intensifying the conflict between the two sides. This tense situation has had a significant impact on the financial market, especially the gold market.
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Non farm payroll forecast for April – labor market under tariff impact
- April 29, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The non farm payroll data released by the United States in May will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on May 2, with market focus on whether the labor market continues to slow down. In March, 228000 new non farm jobs were added, far exceeding the expected 135000. The unemployment rate slightly increased to 4.2%, but the salary growth rate slowed down to 0.3% month on month. This data indicates that the labor market remains resilient, but the easing of wage pressures may provide space for the Federal Reserve’s policy shift.
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From ‘Vanguard of Interest Rate hikes’ to’ Policy Spectator ‘: How tariffs rewrite the Fed’s interest rate cut script?
- April 27, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On April 25th, senior officials of the Federal Reserve made intensive statements, clearly stating that there is no need to adjust monetary policy at present, and the interest rate remains unchanged in the range of 4.25% -4.5%. Behind this’ pause button ‘is the dual pressure of the’ stagflation ‘risk caused by the Trump administration’s tariff policies and the crisis of the Federal Reserve’s independence. Despite the market’s increasing expectations of interest rate cuts, Powell faces a difficult balance between “controlling inflation” and “stabilizing growth”, making it difficult to release signals of easing in the short term. Affected by this, the gold market has shown a roller coaster trend, with intraday fluctuations exceeding $20.
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The changing gold market: an in-depth analysis of the price plunge and the bull market outlook
- April 25, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The gold market has experienced dramatic fluctuations recently, and on Wednesday it suffered its largest one-day drop in nearly four years, sparking widespread doubts about whether its strong gains can continue. After this dramatic fluctuation, the future direction of the gold market has become unclear, and investors and analysts have conducted in-depth discussions on its trends and prospects.
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