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The Crimean Bridge is under attack again! After negotiations, conflict resurfaces, Russian senior officials say ‘comprehensive retaliation’
- June 5, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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On the early morning of June 4th, the Ukrainian military launched a new round of attacks on the Crimean Bridge using an improved TB-2 drone, destroying two sections of the bridge deck and causing a disruption to road traffic. This is the third major attack on the bridge since its first attack in October 2022, and the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense stated that the operation aims to “cut off the Russian military’s logistics supply lines”. Russian Defense Minister Shoigu gave a televised speech on the same day, accusing Ukraine of “terrorist acts” and warning of “indiscriminate retaliation” against the Kiev decision-making center. Russian Federal Security Council Vice Chairman Medvedev also bluntly stated that “there is no possibility of negotiation in the conflict, and we will fight until Ukraine is completely demilitarized”.
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The second round of direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has ended, with territorial disputes deadlocked and a surge in demand for gold as a safe haven
- June 4, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The second round of direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, which was originally planned to restart on June 3, was actually held secretly in Istanbul, Türkiye, on June 2, but it broke down after only one hour. The two sides have reached limited consensus on humanitarian issues such as prisoner of war exchange and body transfer, but have fallen into fundamental opposition on core issues such as territorial sovereignty and ceasefire conditions.
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Trump plans to launch a global 15% tariff, trade market may experience another wave of turbulence
- June 3, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On May 29th local time, the Trump administration urgently launched “Plan B” after temporarily restoring tariff policies in the Federal Circuit Court of Appeals, proposing to impose a 15% unified tariff on global imported goods within 150 days, covering core categories such as automobiles, electronics, and machinery. This policy circumvents congressional authorization by invoking Section 232 of the 1962 Trade Expansion Act and directly imposes comprehensive tariffs on imported goods under the pretext of “national security”.
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Asset allocation shift under the failure of traditional 60/40 portfolio: the struggle between gold, crude oil and Bitcoin
- May 30, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
In recent years, the traditional 60/40 investment portfolio that focuses on stocks and bonds has gradually become ineffective under the impact of tariff policies and economic uncertainty. Goldman Sachs pointed out that long-term US Treasury bonds have failed to play a role in hedging the downside risks of the stock market recently. Whether it is the recession concerns caused by the tariff escalation in April or the surge in borrowing costs caused by fiscal sustainability concerns in May, US Treasury bonds have not reflected their safe-haven value. This phenomenon is not accidental. In history, during periods of inflation or commodity shocks, the stock and bond markets often fall simultaneously.
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Trump’s’ Liberation Day ‘tariff policy ruled unconstitutional, global trade pattern faces restructuring
- May 30, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On May 28th local time, the US International Trade Court made a historic ruling, determining that the Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” tariff policy announced on April 2nd exceeded its authority, and ruling that the president has no right to impose comprehensive tariffs on trading partners. This ruling not only directly impacts the foundation of US trade policy, but also triggers a chain reaction among global trading partners, with major economies such as the European Union and Mexico launching retaliatory tariff plans. Affected by this, spot gold prices in Asia opened lower on May 29th, plummeting $30 to $3261.27 per ounce, hitting a new low since May 22nd. The US dollar index soared to 99.98, causing severe fluctuations in global financial markets.
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Trump boasts that tariff threat is effective: EU accelerates negotiations, gold market’s long short game intensifies
- May 29, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On May 27th, US President Trump declared on social media that his threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union was “effective,” stating that the EU has taken the initiative to accelerate the trade negotiation process. This statement originated from Trump’s sudden escalation of the tariff threat last week, and the President of the European Commission, von der Leyen, made an urgent call for consultation, which ultimately prompted Trump to postpone the implementation of tariffs from June 1 to July 9. However, the market’s concerns about trade frictions have not completely dissipated, and gold prices have shown a fluctuating pattern under the interweaving of long and short factors.
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Gaza ceasefire ‘wrong’ triggers market volatility! Hamas’ agreement ‘denied by US and Israel, gold safe haven demand surges
- May 28, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Recently, there has been a dramatic turning point in the Gaza ceasefire negotiations – Hamas announced through intermediaries that it accepted the ceasefire plan proposed by US envoy Witkov, but both the US and Israel quickly denied it, causing concerns in the market about the escalation of the situation in the Middle East.
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Putin’s plane is surrounded by 46 drones! Russia-Ukraine conflict escalates
- May 27, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
International spot gold surged by $12 in the short term, breaking through $3350 per ounce and now trading at $3342.54 per ounce. Due to the joint disclosure by Russian media and the Kremlin on the 25th that “Ukrainian drones surrounded Putin’s plane” last Tuesday, the Russian military launched the “largest airstrike in three years” on Kiev, with 367 drones and missiles attacking together, resulting in at least 87 deaths. The geopolitical risk premium surged instantly, with the panic index VIX jumping 15% to 26.3, the US dollar index falling 0.5% to 98.62, and gold safe haven buying demand exploding.
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Iran nuclear crisis escalates! Israel’s’ military countdown ‘ignites gold safe haven trend
- May 26, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the early morning of May 23rd, Iranian Foreign Minister Aragorzi harshly stated in a letter to United Nations Secretary General Guterres: “If Israel dares to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, the United States will be seen as a ‘joint aggressor’, and Iran will take ‘special measures’ to protect its nuclear assets.” This statement, along with the “destructive counterattack” statement issued by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps on the same day, forms a dual deterrence.
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Netanyahu’s tough stance triggers escalation of Middle East situation, with a surge in gold safe haven demand reaching a one week high
- May 23, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On the evening of May 21st local time, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu held his first press conference since December 2024, declaring that Israel will fully control the entire Gaza Strip and stating that “the war will be won until it is won”. This statement marks an escalation of Israel’s military operations in the Gaza Strip, shifting from “eliminating Hamas” to “permanently controlling territory”. Netanyahu emphasized that the ceasefire must be “temporary” and must be based on the disarmament of Hamas, the expulsion of the leadership, and the comprehensive demilitarization of Gaza.
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